摘要
ThispaperintroducesaMonteCarloscenariogenerationmethodbasedoncopulatheoryforthestochasticoptimalpowerflow(STOPF)problemwithwindpower.Byusingcopulatheory,thescenariosaresimulatedfrommultivariablejointdistributionbutonlyfromtheirdependencymatrix.Hence,thescenariosgeneratedbyproposedmethodcancontainfullstatisticalinformationofmultivariate.Here,thedetailsofsimulatingscenariosformulti-wind-farmareexplainedwithfoursteps:determinemarginofonewindfarm,fitthecopulas,chooseoptimalcopulasandsimulatescenariosbyMoteCarlo.Moreover,theproducingprocessofscenariosisdemonstratedbytwoadjacentactualwindfarmsinChina.Withthescenarios,theSTOPFisconvertedintothesameamountdeterministicsubOPFmodelswhichcanbesolvedbyavailabletechnologyperfectly.Resultsusingcopulatheoryarecomparedagainstresultsfromhistorysamplesbasedontwodesigns:IEEE30-busandIEEE118-bussystems.Thecomparisonresultsprovetheaccuracyoftheproposedmethodology.
出版日期
2014年02月12日（中国期刊网平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）
