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500 个结果
  • 简介:Intheestimationofseismictendency,usingGutenberg-Richter¢sb-valueandusingHurstexponentaretwocom-monlyusedmethods.Basedonthefractalgeometryofearthquaketimeseries,wepointoutthatthesetwomethodscorrelatetoeachother.IntheperspectiveoffractionalBrownianmotion(FBM),anearthquakesequencewithb>3/4andthatwithb<3/4havedifferentdynamicproperties.

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  • 简介:Inthisstudy,weadoptanimprovedBayesianapproachbasedonfree-knotB-splinebasestostudythespatialandtemporaldistributionoftheb-value.SynthetictestsshowthattheimprovedBayesianapproachhasasuperiorperformancecomparedtotheBayesianapproachaswellasthewidelyusedmaximumlikelihoodestimation(MLE)methodinfittingtherealvariationofb-values.WethenapplytheimprovedBayesianapproachtoNorthChinaandfindthattheb-valuehasaclearrelevancetoseismicity.Temporalchangesofb-valuesarealsoinvestigatedintwospecificareasofNorthChina.Weinterpretsharpdecreasesintheb-valuesasusefulmessagesinearthquakehazardanalysis.

  • 标签: 中国北方 B值 构造意义 时空变化 地震危险性分析 贝叶斯方法
  • 简介:TheeffectsofmagnituderoundingandofthepresenceofnoiseintheroundedmagnitudesontheestimationoftheGutenberg–Richterb-valueareexplored,andthewaystocorrectfortheseeffectsareproposed.Fortypicalvalues,b=1androundingintervalDM=0.1,theroundingerrorisapproximately-10-3anditcanbecorrectedtoanegligibleapproximately-10-5.Forthesametypicalvalues,theeffectofnoisecanbelarger,dependingonthecharacteristicsofthenoisedistribution;fornormallydistributednoisewithstandarddeviationr=0.1,thecorrectb-valuemaybeunderestimatedbyafactor*0.97.

  • 标签: 噪声分布 四舍五入 B值 校正 舍入误差 正态分布
  • 简介:TheTanlu(Tancheng-Lujiang)faultisoneofthemajorstructuresineasternChina,whichcutsacrossdifferentblocksandcontrolsthetectonicactivity.UsingtheseismicdatafromtheChinaEarthquakeNetworksCenter,weinvestigatethespatialvariationsoftheb-valueintheDabie-Sulu(Jiangsu-Shandong)organicbeltbycalculatingtheb-valueofeachgrid(1°×1°)from1970to2010.Thestudyshowsthat:theb-valueissmallerintheTanlufaultanditsadjacentarea,whichmightsuggestthatthemajorearthquakerecurrenceperiodisrelativelylongduetothelowerfrequencyofsmallearthquakeactivity.InbothsidesofTanlufault,theb-valueishigherattheedgeofSulublockandtheeasternpartofDabieorogenicbelt.ThebvaluesarehigherinNorthChinacentralorogenicbelt,andsmallearthquakeactivitywhichoccurredalongthecentralorogenicbeltisfrequent.Additionally,combinedwithgeologicalandgeophysicalstudy,wefindthattheb-valuehasacertaincorrespondencerelationshipwiththelithologicdistribution,whichinformsusthatseismicactivityfeaturesarecloselyrelatedtotheinhomogeneousmediainthecrust.

  • 标签: 空间分布特征 B值 邻近地区 大别山 郯庐断裂带 大别造山带
  • 简介:SeismicityoftheEarth(MC4.5)wascompiledfromNEIC,IRISandISCcataloguesandusedtocomputeb-valuebasedonvarioustimewindows.Itisfoundthatcontinuouscyclicb-variationsoccuronbothlongandshorttimescales,thelatterbeingofmuchhighervalueandsometimesinexcessof0.7oftheabsoluteb-value.Thesevariationsoccurnotonlyyearlyormonthly,butalsodaily.Beforetheoccurrenceoflargeearthquakes,b-valuesstartincreasingwithvariablegradientsthatareaffectedbyforeshocks.Insomecases,thegradientisreducedtozeroortoanegativevalueafewdaysbeforetheearthquakeoccurrence.Ingeneral,calculatedb-valuesattainmaxima1daybeforelargeearthquakesandminimasoonaftertheiroccurrence.Bothlinearregressionandmaximumlikelihoodmethodsgivecorrelatable,butvariableresults.Itisfoundthatanexpandingtimewindowtechniquefromafixedstartingpointismoreeffectiveinthestudyofb-variations.Thecalculatedb-variationsforthewholeEarth,itshemispheres,quadrantsandtheepicentralregionsofsomelargeearthquakesareofbothlocalandregionalcharacter,whichmayindicatethatinsuchcases,thegeodynamicprocessesactingwithinacertainregionhaveamuchregionaleffectwithintheEarth.Theb-variationshavelongbeenknowntovarywithanumberoflocalandregionalfactorsincludingtectonicstresses.Theresultsreportedhereindicatethatgeotectonicstressremainsthemostsignificantfactorthatcontrolsb-variations.ItisfoundthatforearthquakeswithMwC7,anincreaseofabout0.20intheb-valueimpliesastressincreasethatwillresultinanearthquakewithamagnitudeoneunithigher.

  • 标签: 地震发生 幅度分布 周期性变化 B值 构造应力 时间窗口
  • 简介:Inthispaper,basedonGansuDigitalSeismicNetworkdatasince1990,wecalculatedb-valueand⊿b-valueoftheneighborhoodareabeforethe2013Minxian-ZhangxianM_S6.6,earthquake.Theresultsshowthattheearthquakeoccurredatthemarginofthesignificantlylowerb-valueareainsoutheastofGansuandbeforetheearthquaketheneighborhoodareahadanobviouslyabnormal⊿b-value.Fromtheearthquakeandthespatialdistributionoflowb-value,theregionstillhasthepossibilityofgeneratingdangerousstrongearthquakes.

  • 标签: 数字地震台网 甘肃东南部 b值 异常 岷县 地震发生
  • 简介:ThebvaluespectrumandηvaluebythemomentmethodToruOuchi(大内)DepartmentofEarthSciences,FacultyofScience,KobeUniversity,Kobe,657,...

  • 标签: b VALUE SPECTRUM MOMENT METHOD η
  • 简介:Micro-aftershockswithmagnituderangeof1.5-4aroundtheWenchuanearthquakeepicenter,thesouthernpartoftheLongmenshanfaultzone,exhibitgoodfrequency-magnitudelinearrelationships,thusenablingb-valueanalysis.Theaverageb-valueformicro-aftershocksofM1.5-4fromJulytoDecemberof2008inourlocalstudyregionisabout0.88,similartotheb-valueforallaftershocksofM3.0-5.5fromMay,2008toMay,2009alongthewholeLongmenshanfaultzone.Thesimilaritybetweenthelocalandregionalb-valuespossiblyindicatesthatthesouthernpartoftheLongmenshanfaultzonehassimilarseismogenicenvironmenttothewholeLongmenshanfaultzone.Alternatively,itmayalsoimplythatb-valuesderivedfromalleventswithoutconsiderationofstructuralvariationcannotdiscriminatelocal-scaletectonicinformation.Thepresentstudyshowsthattheb-valuefortheWenchuanearthquakemicro-aftershocksvarieswithdifferentregions.Theb-valueinsouthwestoftheYingxiutownishigherthanthatinthenortheastoftheYingxiutown.Thehighb-valueinthesouthwestpartwheretheWenchuanearthquakemainshockhypocenterlocatedindicatesthatthecurrentstressaroundthehypocenterregionismuchlowerthanitssurroundingarea.Theb-valuesarealsodependentondepth.Atshallowdepthsof<5km,theb-valuesareverysmall(~0.4),possiblybeingrelatedtostrongwaveattenuationorstrongheterogeneityinshallowlayerswithhighcontentofporosityandfractures.Atdepthsof~5-11km,wheremostaftershocksconcentrated,theb-valuesbecomeashighas~0.9-1.0.Atthedepthbelow~11km,theb-valuesdecreasewiththedepthincreasing,beingconsistentwithincreasingtectonichomogeneityandincreasingstresswithdepth.

  • 标签: 构造意义 地震 汶川 余震 微型 B值
  • 简介:CalculationofbvalueanditsapplicationinearthquakepredictionHua-ChenDUAN(段华琛);Chang-QingFAN(范长青)andYue-MinXU(许跃敏)(Seismological...

  • 标签: b VALUE standardizing time DENSITY FACTOR
  • 简介:AmodelofseismicitywithfractalstructuresandapreliminarydiscussionontherelatiobetweenDandbvalueHat-KunJIANG(蒋海昆)andShou-ZhongDI...

  • 标签: 守中
  • 简介:CumulativefrequencybvaluewithoutupperboundmagnitudeanditsregressiondeterminationJian-WenSHEN(沈建文)(SeismologicalBureauofAnhuiP...

  • 标签: b VALUE earthquake RECURRENCE relation seismic
  • 简介:FuzzyIntervalValueLogicandFuzzyDistrbutedValueLogicTXFuzzyIntervalValueLogicandFuzzyDistributedValueLogicHeXinguiBeijingInstit...

  • 标签: : FUZZY LOGIC FUZZY INTERVAL VALUE
  • 简介:SufficientconditionsweregiventoassertthatbetweenanytwoBanachspacesoverK,Fredholmmappingsshareatleastonevalueinaspecificopenball.Theproofoftheresultisconstructiveandbaseduponcontinuationmethods.

  • 标签: 规则值 延续法 连续依赖定理 紧凑映射
  • 简介:为一家企业建模匹配它的顾客察觉了(并且需要的顾客)结果,仍然是一项进行中的任务。这篇论文考虑表演网络(SVN)接近的服务价值可能怎么样,答应当模特儿,;交付,前端企业理解;它与的直接约会它的立即(或前端)顾客。这些前端顾客可以是任何一个:(1)它的离线,在里面店顾客—与企业出售职员一起直接从事(或代表),或(2)它的联机、虚拟顾客—经由因特网或遥远的存取与企业从事。处于这种状况,两企业,;顾客利用他们的各自的观点,;双方影响相互作用。对这些企业外部;顾客影响是捕获的另外的因素立即;更宽广的全球效果—称为的环境效果。影响的这三个生意顾客约会区域被一条SVNSEM途径捕获。没有一个生意顾客,某类型遇到一家服务企业的可能性,;一个勘探顾客,成功地从事一个交换过程被减少。这交换可以是一物理,;/or服务交换,;/or一个信息;/or想法交换。到企业,实际上,这相遇是一项贸易,;作为结果,企业指向获得将最终交付一张网的经济交换积极经济结果。到顾客,外部;内部信息喂,满足,察觉的价值,;满足,是关键相遇司机。SVN提供一个新方法理解生意顾客相遇,;为了然后利用,这获得了知识到也:(1)造一个战略管理模型,或(2)reengineer它的企业网络,;然后创造重新定位的、更排列顾客的企业操作—能够交付胜利的—赢,竞争生意顾客答案。

  • 标签: 服务网络 结盟 电子商务 管理策略
  • 简介:Whilelastdecadehaswitnessedarapidgrowthofdigitaleconomy,thereislimitedunderstandinginliteratureonwhethertheconventionalwisdomonpricingstrategystillholdsforinformationgoods.Ononehand,informationgoods,similartodurablegoods,aresubjecttovaluedepreciation;ontheother,theydifferfromtraditionalgoodsinnegligiblemarginalcostandthesensitivitytosocialinfluences.Thispaperdevelopsatwo-period,game-theoreticmodeltoinvestigateoptimalpricingstrategyofinformationgoods.Ononedimension,twodifferentdepreciationmechanisms(self-andtime-depreciation)areconsidered;ontheother,twoprevalentpricingschemes(perpetuallicensingandsubscription-feemodels)arestudied.Weobtainclosed-formsolutionsinallscenarios.Ourfindingssuggestthatvendorsoftime-depreciationinformationgoodsshouldadoptsubscription-feemodeltoattractearlyadoptersandexploitsocialinfluences,whilethevendorsofself-depreciationinformationgoodsshouldstrategicallybalancebetweendepreciationandsocialinfluences.Interestingly,associalinfluencesbecomestrongenough,thedifferencebetweenpricingschemesdiminishesandthetradeoffbetweencandidatestrategiesvanishes.Wealsoextendthemodeltostaticpricinginwhichthevendorcommitstofutureprice.Wediscoverthatthesuperiorityofsubscription-feemodelmightbeoverturnedunderstaticpricing.Ourresultsabovealsoimplythatbuildingconsumerfeedbackandinteractionsystemscouldbehelpfulforminimizingthepotentiallossofasuboptimalpricingscheme.

  • 标签: 定价策略 信息产品 社会影响 消费者 商品 安装基础